Monday, November 26, 2012

Kayla Janney - Going over the fiscal cliff - 11/26/12




     
      After reading the article “Going over the fiscal cliff would give US an austerity crisis, not a debt crisis” I was able to apply concepts that have been covered in class.  The article talked about how the country faces more than half a trillion dollars in tax increases and spending cuts next year, starting in January.  With the intent to increase taxes and cut spending, workers would have less money to take home from their pay checks, this would cause GDP to decrease, which would put our economy into this “financial obstacle course” that economist believe our country is facing.  With workers having less money in their pockets to spend and help raise GDP, our country is more than likely going to go back into a recession.  I feel that this is necessary to try to get the country out of the debt that is it currently in though.  Even though families will be paying more in taxes, in the short run it will hurt the economy, but the country always ends up getting out the horrible situation like it has been in before.  Congress says that under the current laws that are in place, there will be massive spending cuts and major tax increase for 2013.  If we consider all the effects of government debt on the economy, a large public debt is likely to reduce long-run economic growth; which we are facing today.  We can see that the long run of high spending and low tax rates have depressed the growth rate of the economy.  As we have had lower tax rate, this has caused a decrease in public saving.  Since there are low savings, this has caused investments to decline as well.  There needs to be a change in fiscal monetary policy in order for aggregate demand to remain constant.  As our economy is fragile at this time we could not handle the large tax increases without falling into a recession.  As the fiscal cliff sounds much more intimidating than an economic obstacle course, if our economy can slide down, our economy will eventually be able to climb back up.  There need to b changes in our economy in order for our economy to ever grow again.  The leaders need to face economic reality and tackle the debt that we are in today.  It is important that they act upon this issue in order to get our country at a growth rate again.  Our economy needs to invest money into our own economy in order for it to continue to grow.  Yes sending jobs, etc to China is cheaper but it’s causing a lot of American’s to be without jobs which is playing a huge hurt role on our economy.  We live in an economy where individuals are scared to invest money because they are not sure from day to day if they will have a job the next day.  Congress needs to get our country back on track, it will take another recession to get our economy back on its feet, but it is a decision that needs to be made before our country continues to grow in more debt. 





Kayla Janney

[Zandra Ribas] Fed’s Lacker Warns More Bond Purchases Risk Inflation

Bloomberg Businessweek published an article last week regarding Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker's opposition to the new Fed policy of tying continued central bank stimulus to the U.S. unemployment rate. Lacker is very much concerned, as many other economists and bankers, that the Fed policy of the last three years is going to create high inflation levels in the future. The Fed has stated its goal of keeping interest rates abnormally low to at least the middle of 2015.

At the recent Fed meeting on October 24, four Fed members approved this new criteria for their interest rate policy, which was first proposed by Chicago Fed President, Charles Evans. Lacker's opinion is that using one main economic indicator to set interest rate policy is wrong because it can distort the overall economic condition of the United States. Ben Bernanke, Fed Chairman, has advocated and set forth this same monetary stimulus for three years now; however, Lacker claims this policy has not produced the type of growth which was the goal. In addition, the Fed was hoping to ignite the housing market, which had been hit hard since 2007, but this has really not happened either for a variety of reasons, including tighter credit and lending standards and unemployment. Because certain structural and long term unemployment levels are beginning to set into the rate, this is also not a good indicator for interest rate policy.

Although the Fed is supposed to be an independent body from the executive and legislative branches, Lacker has proposed allowing Congress to intervene with the Fed to set some limits on how much money can be continued to be printed. Basically Lacker feels the Fed is losing control of the currency and needs restraints. If the U.S. economy should pick up in the next couple years, inflation could really become an issue here. Already prices of various commodities priced in dollars like gold, oil, and food have escalated tremendously in costs over the past few years because of Fed policy. The dollar has also taken a 20 percent decrease in value over the past couple years against other currencies.

Lacker is also strongly opposed to Fed mortgage security purchases because he feels the government needs to start not being so heavily involved with the housing industry, as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. These bureaus which supply mortgage monies are backed by tax payer dollars and both needing hundreds of billions of additional funds, while still not creating a healthy real estate market. Lacker is, in essence, opposed to the Fed purchasing its own debt because this will all end very poorly if it should continue.

Fed’s Lacker Warns More Bond Purchases Risk Inflation

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Roanoke College Economics: The Fiscal Cliff: Avoid it or take the plunge?

Class: A blog post all about you!

Roanoke College Economics: The Fiscal Cliff: Avoid it or take the plunge?: Dr. Kassens' Principles of Macroeconomics class spent the past week learning about debt and economic growth. In particular, they learned how...

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Roanoke College Economics: Consumer sentiment poll

Roanoke College Economics: Consumer sentiment poll: One of the articles in the most recent issue of Roanomics discussed consumer sentiment and unemployment. The following data was included: ...

Monday, November 12, 2012

Hello to the fall of 2012 class and a question (from Millie)

The US Federal Government is spending more money than my human (Dr. Kassens) does on purses and shoes. What is the current debt ceiling for the US Federal Government?

Answer this question BY EMAIL (to Dr. Kassens) within 48 hours for some extra credit in ECON 122!

Roanoke College Economics: Roanomics is here! Vol. 3, Iss. 1 - An Election da...

Roanoke College Economics: Roanomics is here! Vol. 3, Iss. 1 - An Election da...: Student Editor Kerry Murphy `13 and I hope that you enjoy our latest. Thank you to all contributors. ENJOY! Roanomics Vol.3, Iss. 1

Monday, March 26, 2012